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Clinton's lead falls to 3 points among likely voters; Feingold's lead also slips

The presidential race between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump has tightened considerably in Wisconsin, a new Marquette Law School Poll finds.

According to poll results released Wednesday, Clinton is up just 5 percentage points over Trump, 42 to 37 percent, among Wisconsin registered voters. The margin is even tighter, 45 to 42 percent, among likely voters, and that appears to be with in the poll’s margin of error – plus or minus 5 points for the likely voters.

That makes a much closer race than was evident in the previous Marquette poll in early August, which had Clinton up 10 points among registered voters and 15 among likely voters. But it’s closer to the results in a July poll, which had Clinton’s lead of just 4 points among likely voters.

“After a strong bump in Clinton’s favor following the national party conventions, the electorate in Wisconsin has returned to about where the vote stood in July, prior to the conventions,” said Charles Franklin, director of the Marquette Law School Poll and an MU professor of law and public policy.

In other results, Clinton led a four candidate field (including Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and Green Party pick Jill Stein), with 37 percent for Clinton, 32 percent for Trump, 11 for Johnson and 7 for Stein, among registered voters.

The poll also showed a tight Senate race between Democrat Russ Feingold and Republican incumbent Ron Johnson. Feingold led 46 percent to 42 percent among registered voters, and 48 to 45 percent among likely voters. That’s much closer than the early August poll, where Feingold led by 11 points among likely voters.

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The poll is based on interviews with 803 registered Wisconsin voters by landline or cell phone, conducted from Aug. 25 to 28.

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